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July 18, 2019

Peru Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2019

We estimate output growth for 1H19 around 2%YoY, accelerating to roughly 4% in 2H19. As a result, Peru’s GDP will grow 2,9% in 2019, one percentage point less than our previous estimate from three months ago. For 2020, we anticipate growth will approach 4%.
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April 25, 2019

Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2019

Activity slowed at the beginning of the year due to the decline in public investment and mining production. Going forward, there will be a better performance .We continue foreseeing GDP will grow by 3.9% in 2019 supported by mining investment. However, in comparison with the previous report, now our forecast has a downward …

April 18, 2019

Peru | What will the Central Bank do with its policy rate in the coming months?

We estimated a Taylor rule for the Central Bank and found that the estimated rate has not diverted from the average observed rate more than one month. We expected that the BCRP would soon begin to raise the rate to a more neutral level. However, there are concerns about global growth which could lead to the current monetary…
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April 2, 2019

Peru | New home and prime office market in Lima Metropolitana

Sales of new apartments in Lima continued to recover in 2018 in a context of improved formal employment, attractive interest rates, and some government incentives. We estimate that sales improvement will keep consolidating this year. On the prime office market side, the supply of previous years is gradually being digested a…
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March 28, 2019

Peru | New home and prime office market in Lima Metropolitana

Sales of new apartments in Lima continued to recover in 2018 in a context of improved formal employment, attractive interest rates, and some government incentives. We estimate that sales improvement will keep consolidating this year. On the prime office market side, the supply of previous years is gradually being digested a…
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February 21, 2019

Peru | Situation of the mining sector

The Peruvian mining sector initiates a new investment cycle, particularly in copper mines, in a context in which metal prices cover production costs and where financing costs are still relatively low. The new investment cycle will give important support to the growth of the activity in 2019.
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January 25, 2019

Peru Economic Outlook. First quarter 2019

We estimate that GDP advanced around 4.6% yoy in Q4 2018. As a result, GDP growth in 2018 would have been around 3.9%. This year, due to a strong increase in mining investment, but also more restrained public spending and less favourable external conditions, we forecast that GDP will advance 3.9% in 2019, a similar figure t…

January 11, 2019

Infographic Colombia Promoting financial development in the context of Middle-Income Trap

Between 2011 and 2017, the economy has grown on average 3.8% annually, while the LAC average is 1.7%