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August 30, 2019

Colombia | The debate on economic issues

I feel that we are falling short, economists, in making the debates that the country needs. In terms of growth, for example, and its lack of relationship with some leading indicators. Inflation, about the risks that the shocks again move us away from the fiscal or fiscal goals and their long-term impact.

August 7, 2019

Mexico Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2019

The economy grew by 0.1% (QoQ) in 2Q19 driven by the service sector; industry continues to slow down.

August 1, 2019

Mexico | Economic slowdown

Yesterday, the INEGI published preliminary growth data for the second quarter. As we know, this showed growth of 0.1% compared with the previous quarter.

July 3, 2019

U.S. | Business Investment – Lower, Higher or just Different?

Lower net investment in real estate and high depreciation rates of intangibles account for most of the slowdown in net business investment over the last 30 years.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

May 31, 2019

Eurozone | Growth gained momentum in 1Q19, but trending to moderate amid increasing risks

Hard data up to March point to domestic demand as the main driver of growth supported by the resilience of consumers and improving labour market. The better performance of exports to other EU countries offset the decline of those to Asia, raising doubts about foreign support and the sustainability of industrial growth.

May 23, 2019

Mexico | Fiscal space is limited

How much fiscal space does the country have? Is it possible to borrow more to support Pemex or to cope with a possible recession with a countercyclical fiscal expansion? In order to answer these questions, it is necessary to analyze Mexico's public debt profile.

May 22, 2019

U.S. Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2019

In July, the current economic expansion will reach 121 months, becoming the longest in modern history. Barring any shocks, inflation-adjusted GDP will average more than $21T in 2019 and by the end of the year real GDP per capita will surpass $58K.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

May 15, 2019

China | Growth dip came at an inconvenient time

A batch of April economic indicators are announced today, together with previously released trade and credit data, suggesting that the risk of growth deceleration looms large even before the escalation of US-China trade war in early May.