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In the first quarter of the year, 423K jobs were created, the best result since 1998, representing a growth of 9.8% QoQ. In March, 136K were created, which is equivalent to a monthly growth of 0.6%, higher than that of the last two years for a similar month (0.4% in 2021 and 0.3% in 2022).
Following a series of more aggressive 75 bp hikes at previous meetings, last week the ECB raised interest rates by just 50 bp, following in the footsteps the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. In doing so, it is trying to strike the right balance, which is always difficult in times of stagflation as the current one.
Inflation has returned and has done so at rates not seen for decades in most developed economies. Spain has not remained unaffected by this episode of global inflation.
Comentarios a la conferencia de T. Kehoe, "Latinoamérica: Riesgos y desafíos en un contexto desafiante", presentada en la convención 56º Convención Bancaria, "Construyendo oportunidades para todos", organizado por Asobancaria en Cartagena de In…
The economy slowed in 4Q21 (2.2% q/q), but the composition of demand was virtuous. Specifically, growth was supported, above all, by investment and exports. Thus, 2021 closed with an annual increase of 5.1%, confirming BBVA Research forecasts
Banco de la República increased the policy rate by 50 basis points, bringing it to 2.5%. The vote was split, with 5 members in favor of a 50bp increase and 2 in favor of 25bp. On the other hand, the Staff revised its forecasts for activity, inflation and current account deficit upwards again.
The economy showed less dynamism than expected. Private consumption and housing drained growth, while productive investment and external demand added. Hours worked barely grew, so most of the improvement in activity is attributable to productivity
The 2022 economic package reinforces the commitment to fiscal discipline. The forecast of higher tax revenue is supported by improved intake practices and streamlining actions with more fiscal oversight for the compliance of tax payments. The f…
Economic activity with a favorable evolution in 1Q21 (0.4% QoQ) with mixed performance among its components. The tertiary sector grows 0.7% QoQ in the first quarter of the year driven by the higher mobility registered in recent months.
Strong real GDP growth in 1Q21 on the back of massive fiscal support, accommodative monetary policy, a successful vaccination campaign and the reopening of the economy.
The economy could experience a period of bonanza not seen in decades. Strong recovery boosted by successful vaccination campaign, reopening of services, low interest rates, and massive fiscal stimulus. Flat Phillips curve and elevated slack limit inflationary pressures.
GDP declined 6.8% in 2020. In the major demand groups, only government consumption grew and, in the productive branches, four out of twelve expanded. The economy had a sustained recovery since the third quarter that will be consolidated in the second half of 2021. GDP growth of 4.8% is expected in 2021.
