alert_serviceYour space user_add New user

Forgot your password?
Stay logged in to leave
Publication date
From
To
Catalog Icon

Banking Outlook. March 2017

By

In this issue we review: Trends and developments in the Spanish banking sector. Spanish banks’ ROE, COE and P/BV ratio. Evolution of the financial burden of families in Europe. Management of non-performing assets in Europe. Peru: deposits in soles and exchange rate expectations.

Geographies:Global

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Global | Global growth points to 0.9%-1% in early 2017

By , , , ,

Global GDP growth continues accelerating in Q1, though our BBVA-GAIN indicator of global growth is slightly lower than a month ago (Q4: 0.85%; Q1: 0.93%). Confidence indicators continue to be very strong and global trade gives signals of further expansion, but industrial production and especially retail sales are more moderate in early year.

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - February 2017 Update

By , ,

While ISIS lost ground in Syria and Iraq, Al-Qaeda resumed its offensive operations. Meanwhile, tensions between Russia and Ukraine stabilized after last month’s sharp conflict escalation. Geopolitical tensions in China could intensify as uncertainties regarding the US policy stance in the region remained and North Korea remains testing.

Available in English

Catalog Icon

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Central Bank Digital Currencies: assessing implementation possibilities and impacts

Document Number 17/04

By , , , ,

Following advances in the distributed ledger technology, central banks are assessing the issuance of digital currency. There's a range of possible schemes to adopt depending on which features of cash to hold: universality, anonymity and non-yield bearing. We analyze opportunities and challenges of 4 key schemes, that support a strategy of gradual testing and implementation

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Country Risk Report. First Quarter 2017

By

Yet another quarter in which Financial Tensions, Global Risk Aversion (GRA) and Sovereign CDS have all been easing significantly across the board. The overall decrease in CDS spreads reduced downgrade pressures and increased upgrade ones for most countries. The decline in downgrade pressure was specially noticeable in LatAm , but it was also felt in the rest of EMs.

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

A long term global view with a focus on MENA

By

A long term global view with a focus on MENA. The mediterranean Economies in a changing world. The world is changing its economic center of gravity from the Atlantic to the Pacific. Growth will be concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region, (80% in the next ten years)

Available in English

Catalog Icon

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

DiGiX: The Digitization Index

Document Number 17/03

By ,

The Digitization Index (DiGiX) assesses the factors, agents’ behavior and institutions that enable a country to fully leverage Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) for increased competitiveness and well-being. It is a composite index that summarizes relevant indicators on 100 countries’ digital performance.

Available in English

Catalog Icon

Global | More growth, but with old and new risks across regions

By , , , ,

Global growth strengthened in 2H16 (+0.9% QoQ) and it could be gathering pace in 1Q17 (+1.0% QoQ), as our GAIN-model suggests, driven mostly by industrial activity and improving global trade. New quarterly projections remain broadly unchanged, with differences across regions, while risks are tilted to the downside and are mostly of a political nature.

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

The Network View: applications to international trade and bank exposures

Document Number 17/02

By ,

Systems of interconnected elements are increasingly important in economic applications. This paper elaborates on some ideas of network analysis and its application to the study of systems of economic interest. It focuses on the Identification of influential and vulnerable elements, from both a global and a local perspective.

Available in English

Catalog Icon

Ukraine: violence intensified once again in 2017

By , ,

Fighting in Eastern Ukraine erupted again, just a day after that the first phone call between Trump and Putin since the US president's inauguration. It was the worst escalation since early 2015. The new US administration's policy stance towards the conflict is still undefined and increases concerns and uncertainties about the conflict evolution and the Russian role on it.

Available in English

Catalog Icon

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

U.S. | Oil Price Outlook (February 2017)

By , ,

OPEC output deal may have a limited impact on prices. Going forward, inventory correction and the lagged effect of CAPEX cuts should lead to higher prices. The recovery of U.S. shale production is expected to prevent a steep upturn in prices. Little to no upside from demand. Slow recovery and convergence to $60/bbl.

Available in English

Catalog Icon

Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - January 2017 Update

By ,

Pro-regime forces took full control of Aleppo, while ISIS retook Palmyra. Russian military operations intensified during the month. Escalation between Russia and Ukraine. Iraqi security forces recaptured eastern Mosul. Escalation between Russia and Ukraine

Available in English

Catalog Icon

Available in Spanish, English

Catalog Icon

Available in Spanish, English

Spanish banks data
Geostrategy
Digital economy
Financial regulation
Market Comment
Mexico publications
Spain publications
USA publications
Europe publications
Anuari 2016
Working Papers
Multimedia