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Spain Economic outlook with a view on the real estate sector

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The world economy continues to improve, albeit within an environment in which risks are still present. In Spain, current activity trends confirm that growth remains strong. We expect GDP growth to remain around 3,0% in 2017 and 2018 (2,7%). Housing demand is picking up, as prices have stabilized or even increased significantly in certain regions.

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Global growth is still gaining momentum in 2Q17, but there are some signs of stabilisation

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Global growth accelerated in 1Q to 0.9% QoQ and 2Q data so far suggest further global momentum (1% QoQ). Confidence data remain very positive, especially for developed economies, while hard data point to higher investment. Moreover, the exports recovery remains on track, partly explained by upward trend in investment in recent quarters.

Available in Spanish, English

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Available in Spanish, English

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - April 2017 Update

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Tensions continued between North Korea and US over the nuclear test programme and the US increased its missile defence system in the area. China will continue to maintain the statuo quo while the tone of the US escalated but softened thereafter. In the Middle East, the advances of the coalition forces continue against ISIS. The US supported the YPG's advance in Raqqa.

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Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Risks and Opportunities in Climate Change

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The world economy is transitioning to a carbon-free paradigm triggered by the potentially disastrous effects of climate change. In the following years, vast amounts of capital will be allocated to mitigation and adaptation projects. With the right strategy, the opportunities for the banking industry could outweigh the risks

Available in Spanish, English

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Available in Spanish, English

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Digital Economy Outlook - April 2017

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In this issue we will focus on: digital platforms: economic features and policy challenges; fostering a data-driven economy in the EU; licensing Fintech companies: authorities trying a balance between fostering innovation and financial stability; behavioural biometrics, a step further in digital identification; the governance of technology in the digital world

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Global | Positive dynamics lead to an upward revision in projections

By , , , ,

Global GDP growth maintains its positive trend in 1H17 as our BBVA-GAIN indicator suggests (close to 1% QoQ). Confidence and global trade continue to point a further expansion, but signals given by hard data are not yet clear. New projections for 2017-18 are revised upwards in China, more moderately in EZ, with no changes in the US.

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Available in Spanish, English

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Geo-World: Conflict & Social Unrest - March 2017 Update

By , ,

After the chemical weapons attack on Syrian civilian population, the US launched its first military strike against the Assad regime sending a clearer message to Syria and North Korea. However, it is still early to know whether this is a tactical message or part of a broader strategy. Europe and Asia kept with low conflict levels, while in North Africa, instability rose.

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Available in Spanish, English

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Financial Regulation Outlook. Second Quarter 2017

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CRD V: State of play. MREL: Unresolved issues. NPL - ECB guidelines. Uncertainties surrounding Brexit. Innovation and regulation. Creating sustainable opportunities.

Geographies:Global

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Big Data at BBVA Research

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Big Data analysis at BBVA Research. Digital revolution and the new business environment. Big data and education: challenges and opportunities

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Infrastructure & economic growth from a meta-analysis approach: do all roads lead to Rome?

Document Number 17/07

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In a context of extended global economic fragility, multilateral institutions and governments have been recommending to increase infrastructure investment to spur economic growth. However, the impact of this policy can widely differ depending on many aspects

Geographies:Global

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Available in Spanish, English

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Banking Outlook. March 2017

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In this issue we review: Trends and developments in the Spanish banking sector. Spanish banks’ ROE, COE and P/BV ratio. Evolution of the financial burden of families in Europe. Management of non-performing assets in Europe. Peru: deposits in soles and exchange rate expectations.

Geographies:Global

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Available in Spanish, English

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Global | Global growth points to 0.9%-1% in early 2017

By , , , ,

Global GDP growth continues accelerating in Q1, though our BBVA-GAIN indicator of global growth is slightly lower than a month ago (Q4: 0.85%; Q1: 0.93%). Confidence indicators continue to be very strong and global trade gives signals of further expansion, but industrial production and especially retail sales are more moderate in early year.

Available in Spanish, English

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Available in Spanish, English

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