Most recent posts from Argentina

El Niño generates heterogeneous impacts across South America, affecting Argentina, Colombia, and Peru. Climate change intensifies these extreme events. Given the uncertainty, it is vital to conduct granular analyses and strengthen the capacity to adapt to climate change.

El Niño 2026–27 could be exceptional, but its impact will not depend on intensity alone: local climate conditions, timing, and sectoral exposure will be key. Granular analysis can help anticipate risks, while adaptation can mitigate their effects

Argentina's August inflation was 1.7% MoM, in line with expectations, decelerating from 2.1% in July due to seasonal price dynamics. Core inflation remained stable. The 2026 inflation forecast is maintained at 29%, with a slight upward bias for the remainder of the year.

Argentina's national inflation in July was 2.1% month-on-month (33.8% y/y), exceeding expectations. This acceleration was mainly driven by seasonal price dynamics during the winter holidays. The 2026 inflation forecast is maintained at 29%, with an upward bias.

June's inflation in Argentina was 1.9% monthly, marking the third consecutive slowdown and the lowest level in ten months. This figure, slightly below expectations, brings the year-to-date accumulation to 16.8%. The 2026 inflation forecast is maintained at 29%, with a downward bias.

The El Niño phenomenon is not uniform; neither are its economic impacts. It can bring droughts or torrential rains, affecting each country differently. In Argentina it can favor crops, in Colombia it can generate inflationary pressures, and in Peru it can alter marine productivity and exports.

The conflict in the Middle East has caused a global economic shock in 2026 that is impacting Latin America. Rising commodity prices and logistics costs have triggered a spike in inflation and a slowdown in economic growth.