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July 24, 2020

Uruguay | The problem is not the level of public debt but the ability to pay

Although the capacity to pay, as expressed by the debt-to-GDP ratios, does not seem unsustainable, the government should promote fiscal consolidation in order to prevent the debt from continuing to increase after 2022, ensuring sustainability in the medium term and the preservation of the Investor Grade.

June 23, 2020

Uruguay | Labor Market: what we can expect (and do) once the coronavirus is gone

Unemployment in Uruguay reached 10.1% in March, reflecting the effect of measures implemented to contain the outbreak of the coronavirus, in a poorly performing labour market. We expect the unemployment rate to rise to 14.2% this quarter. What are the challenges for the labor market in the wake of the pandemic?

May 20, 2020

Uruguay Economic Outlook. First half 2020

Uruguay will be affected by the combination of an intense, but transitory, negative shock of external demand and a brake on domestic activity resulting from voluntary confinement arranged to avoid massive contagion. In this context, activity will contract by 3.1% in 2020.

November 20, 2019

Uruguay Economic Outlook. Second half 2019

We revised Uruguay's GDP growth downwards due to greater global uncertainty.

May 21, 2019

Uruguay Economic Outlook. First half 2019

Uruguay is focused on elections, with necessary structural reforms taking a back seat.

February 21, 2019

Uruguay | Global and Uruguay Outlook 1Q19

We maintain our growth forecast for Uruguay at 1.3% in 2019 and we revised it downwards in 2020 to 1.9% (before 2.2%). An environment of lower global growth, in Argentina and Brazil, as well as the lack of definition of the beginning of the third pulp mill construction will determine a moderate growth in the next two years.

November 5, 2018

Uruguay Economic Outlook. Second half-year 2018

The crisis in Argentina differs significantly from the one that occurred in 2002, and Uruguay is much better prepared to face it and avoid a significant contagion. We have revised the economic growth downwards due to a cooling of consumption, lack of dynamism in private investment and a drop in exports as a result of the dr…

May 9, 2018

Uruguay Economic Outlook. First half 2018

Uruguay: growth slows, but investment expected to pick up. Downward revision of growth in Uruguay due to the effect of the drought on the agricultural and livestock sector and hydroelectric generation. Private consumption slows due to slacker pace of increase in real wages.