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April 15, 2025
In February, GDP grew 2.7% year-on-year, below the market consensus (3.4%), affected by a negative base effect. The non-primary component grew 2.5%, with construction being the most notable. The primary component grew 2.3%, driven by fishing and agriculture. Mining contracted due to lower gold and zinc production.
April 11, 2025
In its April meeting, the Board of the Central Bank decided to keep the policy rate at 4.75%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains slightly above neutral.
April 7, 2025
The last months of 2024 gave some glimpses of the challenges Latam could face in the coming years. However, looking beyond the first quarter of 2025, some—albeit not all—of these warning signs have faded.
April 4, 2025
The Big Data Private Consumption Index registered a yoy growth of 10.7% in March, accelerating from a 5.5% increase in February. The stronger growth was partly driven by two additional working days compared to the same month last year (as Easter was celebrated in March 2024).
April 1, 2025
The CPI increased 0.81% month-over-month in March, driven by weather anomalies and the adjustment in student pensions. In contrast, the decrease in transportation prices and the return to normal fare prices after the Carnival holidays helped moderate inflation.
March 18, 2025
The Peruvian economy will grow 3.1% in 2025, 0.4 percentage points more than forecast in December. This change primarily reflects higher expected growth in the US and China and earlier and increased investment flows into some mining and infrastructure projects. Growth is projected to remain at 2.7% for 2026.
March 17, 2025
GDP grew 4.1% year-on-year in January. By productive sector, the primary component stood out (up 4.4%) due to the strong expansion of the fishing sector and the resulting expansion of primary manufacturing. The non-primary component grew 3.2%.
March 14, 2025
In its March meeting, the Board of the Central Bank decided to keep the policy rate at 4.75%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains slightly above neutral.
March 5, 2025
The Big Data Private Consumption Index registered a yoy growth of 5.2% in February, decelerating from the 9.6% expansion recorded in January. This moderation was partly driven by an unfavorable base effect, as February of this year had one fewer day compared to the same month in 2024, a leap year.
March 3, 2025
The consumer price index increased 0.19% m/m in February affected by adverse weather conditions (they negatively impacted the normal supply of some foods) and the greater demand for transportation due to carnivals. On the contrary, the decrease in electricity rates attenuated the advance of the CPI.
February 17, 2025
GDP grew 4.9% y/y in December. By productive sectors, the primary component stood out (+9.0%) due to the strong expansion of the fishing sector and the advance of the agricultural sector. On the non-primary component side, it grew 3.3%. With the December result, GDP grew 4.2% in Q4 and 3.3% in 2024.
