Türkiye | Fragile Disinflation, Narrow Room to Ease
3 October 2025
Consumer inflation came in well above the market expectations at 3.2% m/m and 33.3% y/y. The deterioration in the underlying trend and its potential impact on still unanchored inflation expectations materially increase the likelihood of a year-end inflation of above 30%, also raising upside risks on the next year’s path.