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Growth remains solid, but in a context of deceleration. In 2025, services exports remain the main growth driver. In 2026, the impact of tariffs and the slowdown in non-resident consumption will lead to a moderation in growth.

Castilla-La Mancha's GDP could have increased by 3.4% in 2024 (Spain 3.2%). Regional GDP is expected to increase by 2.8% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026. If these forecasts are met, the unemployment rate could fall to 11.6% on average in 2026 and 40,000 new jobs could be created in the 2025-2026 biennium.

In 2024, growth is revised upwards due to the boost in domestic consumption and tourism. The end of the drought, the improvement of the European economy, and the reduction of interest rates will help sustain growth, affected by the impact of the dana and possible changes in tariff policy in the US.

In 2024, prospects will improve, with service exporting communities benefiting most, while stagnant exports limit the progress of many industrial regions. In 2025, growth moderates and shifts to areas with less tourism weight.

In 2024, the Spanish economy presents a heterogeneous outlook, with different autonomous communities showing significant variations in their growth prospects. In this quarter's BBVA Research Regional Economic Outlook report we explore the most relevant economic trends and challenges for this year and next.

In 2024, strength of employment and services exports, maintain dynamism in Madrid, the Mediterranean and the islands. In 2025, tourism will lose momentum. Higher European demand and the end of the drought will shift growth to regions with more industrial and agricultural relevance.

The GDP of Castilla-La Mancha will grow by 1.3% in 2024 and will accelerate to 2.7% in 2025. This will allow the creation of 42 thousand jobs in the two-year period and reduce the unemployment rate to 12.2% in 2025.

GDP growth in 2024 is revised downwards for all peninsular regions. Greater corrections in the northern regions, but they will lead growth in 2024. In 2025, a general acceleration due to the improvement in domestic consumption and European demand: advantage for national tourism recipients.