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    BBVA Research Publications

    Colombia latest publications

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    May 15, 2025

    Colombia | The Colombian economy grew 2.7% in the first quarter of 2025

    Colombia’s economy grew 2.7% y/y in Q1 2025, led by household consumption. Investment weakened and sectors showed mixed results. Growth is projected at around 2.5% in 2025, with resilient domestic demand but ongoing challenges in investment and the external environment.

    May 14, 2025

    Colombia | Sowing the Future: Agricultural Sector – Pork Industry Report

    The pig farming sector in Colombia has grown 171% over the last two decades, with improvements in productivity, technification, and health standards. The increasing trend in domestic pork demand represents an opportunity for sector development.

    May 9, 2025

    Colombia | Non-Wage Employment, Major Driver of National Employment

    National employment grows, mainly driven by non-wage employment (+8% annually in March). Of 1.1M jobs created, most are independent and informal, raising the informality rate to 57.2%. The challenge is to formalize this employment to improve conditions and reduce poverty.

    May 9, 2025

    Colombia | Annual inflation surprised on the upside in April, reaching 5.2%

    Annual inflation in April surprises on the upside (5.2%), driven by regulated items and goods. Core inflation (excluding food) also increases. Doubts persist regarding the speed of future moderation. This result may lead to upward revisions of forecasts and uncertainty about the future monetary policy stance.

    April 30, 2025

    Colombia | BanRep reduces 25bps its policy rate, unanimously, to 9.25%

    The Board of Banrep reduced the monetary policy rate by 25bp to 9.25% in April. This decision was unanimous. On this occasion, they highlighted that inflation and inflation expectations derived from the debt markets declined.

    April 29, 2025

    Colombia | Real Estate Outlook. 2025

    BBVA Research presents its new real estate sector report in two presentations: the first analyzes sales, supply, prices, rentals, and demographics; the second focuses on the structure of construction, financing, and sustainability. It includes sales projections, drivers, and trends through 2026.

    April 25, 2025

    Colombia | Timeliness and clarity of tax messages

    Colombia aims to cut its fiscal deficit to 5.1% of GDP in 2025, but success depends on swift institutional reforms, clear spending plans, and transparent financing. In a volatile global context, timely and credible messages are key to maintaining investor confidence.

    April 8, 2025

    Colombia | Inflation Ends 4-Month Stable Streak, Settles at 5.1% in March.

    In March 2025 Colombia's total inflation decreased to an annual rate of 5.1% breaking a four-month period of stability or slight increase. This moderation was primarily driven by a decline in non-food inflation, particularly due to the regulated basket. March monthly inflation was 0.52% falling below analysts' expectations.

    April 7, 2025

    Latam | Economic normalization amid an uncertain environment

    The last months of 2024 gave some glimpses of the challenges Latam could face in the coming years. However, looking beyond the first quarter of 2025, some—albeit not all—of these warning signs have faded.

    April 4, 2025

    Colombia | BanRep: A welcome surprise!

    The Banco de la República kept its interest rate unchanged in March, in a context of mixed variables surrounding the decision. In the end, the Bank prioritized economic stability, offering a significant demonstration of independence and technical expertise.

    March 31, 2025

    Colombia | Banco de la República maintained its policy rate stable at 9.5%

    The Board of the Banco de la República kept the policy rate unchanged at 9.5% in a split decision (4 to 3). The decision was based on inflationary and fiscal risks, as well as external uncertainty.