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    BBVA Research Publications

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    April 29, 2025

    Colombia | Real Estate Outlook. 2025

    BBVA Research presents its new real estate sector report in two presentations: the first analyzes sales, supply, prices, rentals, and demographics; the second focuses on the structure of construction, financing, and sustainability. It includes sales projections, drivers, and trends through 2026.

    April 25, 2025

    Colombia | Timeliness and clarity of tax messages

    Colombia aims to cut its fiscal deficit to 5.1% of GDP in 2025, but success depends on swift institutional reforms, clear spending plans, and transparent financing. In a volatile global context, timely and credible messages are key to maintaining investor confidence.

    April 8, 2025

    Colombia | Inflation Ends 4-Month Stable Streak, Settles at 5.1% in March.

    In March 2025 Colombia's total inflation decreased to an annual rate of 5.1% breaking a four-month period of stability or slight increase. This moderation was primarily driven by a decline in non-food inflation, particularly due to the regulated basket. March monthly inflation was 0.52% falling below analysts' expectations.

    April 7, 2025

    Latam | Economic normalization amid an uncertain environment

    The last months of 2024 gave some glimpses of the challenges Latam could face in the coming years. However, looking beyond the first quarter of 2025, some—albeit not all—of these warning signs have faded.

    April 4, 2025

    Colombia | BanRep: A welcome surprise!

    The Banco de la República kept its interest rate unchanged in March, in a context of mixed variables surrounding the decision. In the end, the Bank prioritized economic stability, offering a significant demonstration of independence and technical expertise.

    March 31, 2025

    Colombia | Banco de la República maintained its policy rate stable at 9.5%

    The Board of the Banco de la República kept the policy rate unchanged at 9.5% in a split decision (4 to 3). The decision was based on inflationary and fiscal risks, as well as external uncertainty.

    March 21, 2025

    Colombia | The Decline in Birth Rates: Social Progress or Future Risk?

    Birth rates in Colombia have dropped to 1.6 children per woman, accelerating aging. This pressures pension and healthcare systems. Encouraging births without improving labor and care conditions is ineffective. Public policy must adjust with reforms to ensure sustainability and well-being.

    March 13, 2025

    Colombia Economic Outlook. March 2025

    Colombia’s economy will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, driven by consumption and investment. Inflation will continue declining, though housing and energy costs will remain rigid. Monetary policy will gradually lower rates, while the external deficit will widen due to rising imports and lower remittance inflows.

    March 9, 2025

    Colombia | Inflation moderately increased in February, reaching 5.3%

    Monthly inflation in February was 1.14%, while annual inflation stood at 5.28%. This result exceeded market analysts' expectations, as the Banco de la República survey had anticipated a monthly variation of 0.98%.