Here are all of our publications listed chronologically. You can also find the publications relating to single geography under “Publications by geography” or narrow down your search using the “Advanced filter”.
Here are all of our publications listed chronologically. You can also find the publications relating to single geography under “Publications by geography” or narrow down your search using the “Advanced filter”.
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May 19, 2025
The U.S. House of Representatives proposed a 5% tax on remittances sent by undocumented migrants to any global destination. This tax would be unfair, regressive, and contrary to international agreements, but would have limited effects and would not significantly affect the balance of payments.
May 19, 2025
The observatory analyzes the cyclical behavior of GDP and exports in Spain up to the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a negative gap in GDP per working age population (WAP) compared to its trend level (-0.9 pp), although its growth slightly exceeds the historical trend.
May 19, 2025
On April 28, Spain experienced one of the most serious electricity blackouts in its history. Beyond the immediate collapse in activity, the blackout had a clear impact on consumer spending—especially purchases made using digital payment methods.
May 19, 2025
The images of the floods that hit Valencia last October are still fresh in the collective memory. BBVA Research has developed an analytical framework to make the most of the available information and quantitatively assess both the impact and recovery after a climate disaster.
May 16, 2025
Hard data confirms a robust quarterly GDP growth in 1Q25, similar to the previous quarter (1.7% q/q in 4Q24), driven primarily by domestic demand. Leading indicators signal a broad-based weakening in activity for 2Q25. We maintain our 2025 GDP growth forecast of 3.5% with risks becoming tilted to downside.
May 16, 2025
Europe's automotive sector, second-largest globally and key to the EU economy, faces urgent challenges: rapid decarbonization, China's EV dominance, and US trade protectionism. The EU’s innovation-driven Action Plan can preserve Europe's leadership if swiftly implemented.
May 16, 2025
A key indication that Banxico's primary concern has shifted from inflation to growth is its acknowledgment, for the first time, that “since the inflationary episode has been left behind,” the fight against inflation is at a new stage.
May 15, 2025
Colombia’s economy grew 2.7% y/y in Q1 2025, led by household consumption. Investment weakened and sectors showed mixed results. Growth is projected at around 2.5% in 2025, with resilient domestic demand but ongoing challenges in investment and the external environment.
May 15, 2025
In March 2025, GDP grew by 4.7% year-on-year. The primary component expanded by 4.9%, driven by the fishing and construction sectors. The non-primary component rose by 4.3%, supported by non-primary manufacturing, construction, and some service segments.
May 15, 2025
At the end of 2024, the Mexican economy's GDP grew by 1.5%, primarily driven by the Services sector, which experienced a 2.3% increase. Notably, Professional Services, Transportation, and Retail emerged as the key sectors contributing significantly to this economic growth.
May 15, 2025
The tightening steps of the CBRT in the aftermath of the March shock were followed by much tighter financial conditions and additional macro-prudential measures throughout April and early May. Deposit rates rose to their highest level since Dec24. Credit growth maintains its limited growth.
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