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Market Comment & Financial Market Update
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  • Real GDP Growth Revised Down to 2.2% in 4Q14

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    Real GDP growth in 4Q14 was revised down to 2.2% QoQ SAAR in the preliminary report, mostly due to an adjustment in private inventory ...

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    Real GDP Growth Revised Down to 2.2% in 4Q14

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    Growth revised down from 2.6% to 2.2% for 4Q, though the annual average held at 2.4%. Our monthly activity index highlights employment and ...

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    Spain | Balance of payments December 2014

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    Newly released balance of payments data shows that the current account closed 2014 close to equilibrium. After two consecutive months of ...

    Portugal: The recovery is progressing faster than forecast

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    The recovery gained traction in 4Q14, more than expected and our MICA-BBVA model is, for the moment, estimating 1Q15 growth of 0.4%. In the forecast horizon, we expect 1.5% growth in 2015 and 1.8% in 2016

    The central bank of Peru modifies reserve requirements in line with its strategy of increasing the pace of ...

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    The unemployment rate in Brazil was well above the expected, average real wages moderated, pointing to a labour market that continues to ...

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    Spain | February CPI flash estimate: the drop of inflation has started to moderate

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    The flash estimate of CPI shows a decline in consumer prices in February lower than the previous month's drop, due to the monthly increase ...

    Banking deposits: double-digit growth continues, led by term deposits

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    In December 2014 the nominal annual growth rate of traditional banking deposits (demand + term) was 10.6%, representing growth of 0.3 pp ...

    Headline CPI Down for Third Consecutive Month

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    CPI declined a massive 0.7% in January and dropped 0.2% on a YoY basis. Core inflation increased at a healthy 0.2% as the services ...

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    Spain | Industrial and consumer confidence in February: agents’ expectations ramained supportive

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    Economic agents remained optimistic in the begin of 2015: both consumer and industrial confidence stayed above their pre-crisis average ...

    Europe Outlook. First Quarter 2015

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    We forecast a more solid growth in 2015, driven by oil and euro depreciation which will offset downside risks. Nevertheless, the challenges continue.